The British financial index up behind the 99 level finishing concussion-kd.wuhan.net.cn

British finance: United States refers to big behind the 99 level shocks clients view the latest market analysis and market focus [global] yesterday as expected by market development, production gradually affected by rumors of falsification, the bulls have profits, oil prices fell sharply, according to British strategic analysis of short rallies, they should be able to achieve more than 500 basis points return. The United States announced the core PCE and personal income rate of mixed economic data, the dollar down near the 99 level, gold and silver are supported for the better, but there are still subject to the above signs of resistance. This week the market focus on the U.S. payrolls data, especially in the recent spate of disappointing data, the employment situation of attention, in addition, the Australian central bank [micro-blog] and the bank interest rate resolution also concern. In terms of the data, it is expected that the non-agricultural employment will increase by 190 thousand in January, the unemployment rate will remain 5%, and the hourly wage will increase by 0.3%. The debate will continue if the interest rate rises or falls. In addition, the U.S. consumer confidence index is not optimistic, while the ADP employment or affected by the snow storm back to soft. In Europe, banks in England are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. In the Asia Pacific region, the Australian interest rate is expected to remain unchanged. From the perspective of the interests of the United States, and will not easily raise interest rates, but the current global economic environment, the dollar than most major currencies remain attractive, when the dollar regained strength, gold and silver materials face greater pressure. Beware of sudden news when trading, and must strictly stand stop. British finance [gold]: March interest rate outlook pessimistic, the dollar fell back to support the rise in gold prices. 1) the first is the market strategy, up to 1132 can be appropriate to make more, see 11361140, break through 11451152. 2) on the contrary, below 1123, the target 11201115, the breakthrough can be traced to 11081103. 3) the last strategy, the Fed has opened the interest rate cycle, stock market fell to stimulate risk aversion, but the central bank overweight easing expected to stimulate a stronger dollar, news pupil intertwined, gold and silver rangebound, with 1098-1108 interval more than a single amount of $5~8, chasing profit breakthrough. Pay attention to the volatility and fast and urgent, you must prepare sufficient margin and strict stop loss. [real gold demand] Comex internal reports show that gold delivery is flat, showing real gold demand is no warmer situation. [watch] on the crude oil trading day crude oil prices plummeted, New York oil was down nearly seven percent, is the biggest one-day decline for five months. Factors affecting oil prices include weak economic data in China, the meteorological department forecast as of this month, the weather will be warmer, the market increasingly worried about not OPEC and other oil producers to cut production to reach agreement, U.S. stocks fell and most of the time. New York oil to $31.62 a barrel closing down $2, a decline of nearly six percent; the London oil closed at $34.24, down $1.75, a decline of nearly four point nine percent. On the news side, the manufacturing sector in the United States has further contracted, the construction expenditure has been less than the market expected, and the personal savings have risen to the highest level in three years. American manufacturing contracted for fourth consecutive months, the supply pipe.

英伦金融:美指大起大落后于99水平震荡整理 客户端 查看最新行情   【环球市况焦点及分析】   昨日行情如预期发展,受减产传闻逐渐被证伪所影响,多头纷纷获利了结,油价大幅回落,若按英伦分析策略逢高沽空,应可取得逾500基点的回报。美国公布核心PCE及个人收入月率等经济数据喜忧参半,美元冲高回落在99水平附近整理,金银受支持向好,但仍有受制于上方阻力的迹象。本周市场焦点在美国非农就业数据,尤其是在最近一连串令人失望的数据之后,就业状况引人注目,此外,澳洲央行[微博]及英国央行的利率决议亦可关注。数据方面,预期1月非农就业增加19万,失业率保持5%,时薪环比增长0.3%,如果属实则加息与否的争论会继续。除此之外,美国消费者信心指数不乐观,而ADP就业人数或受雪灾影响回软。在欧洲,预期英格兰银行例会料维持利率政策不变。在亚太区,估计澳大利亚利率不变。从美国自身利益角度出发,并不会轻易加息,但就目前全球经济环境来看,美元较大多数主要货币而言依然具有吸引力,当美元重拾强势后,金银料面对较大压力。交易时要提防突发消息,必须严守止损。   英伦金融【黄金】:三月加息前景悲观,美元回落支持金价上扬。1)首个即市策略,升穿1132可适量造多,看1136,1140,突破追1145,1152。2)反之,跌破1123,目标1120,1115,突破可追1108,1103。3)最后一个策略,目前美联储已开启加息周期,股市下挫激发避险情绪,但各国央行加码宽松的预期刺激美元走强,消息面多空交织,金银区间震荡,以1098-1108区间作适量多单,追5~8美元突破利润。留意后市波动且快且急,必须准备足够的保证金及严守止损。   【实金需求】Comex内部报告则显示黄金交割状况持平,显示实金需求无回暖状况。   【原油直击】上个交易日原油价格急跌,纽约期油曾经跌近百分之7,是五个月来最大单日跌幅。影响油价下跌的因素包括内地经济数据疲弱,美国气象部门预测截至本月中,天气会较和暖,市场越来越担心石油输出国组织和其他产油国未必能够就减产达成协议,及美股大部分时间下跌。纽约期油以每桶31.62美元收市,跌2美元,跌幅近百分之6;伦敦期油收市报34.24美元,跌1.75美元,跌幅近百分之4.9。消息面上,美国制造业进一步收缩,建筑开支亦少过市场预期,个人储蓄则升至三年来最高。美国制造业连续第四个月收缩,供应管理协会制造业指数上月升至48.2,略高过市场预期,不过是连续第四个月低过50的盛衰分界线。另据沙特报纸报道,有OPEC高级官员称,OPEC就与非OPEC产油国合作减产一事召开紧急会议为时过早。此外,中美股市情绪、OPEC最新议案、中东局势及库存状况、伊朗供应消息、美国石油出口政策,亦会左右油价。从供应面看,主要产油国间的市场份额博弈仍在持续,各大产油国都似乎并未有率先减产的打算,供应过剩担忧难以消除,但亦不排除意外达成合作协议促使油价走高。从需求面看,全球制造业经济数据有复苏迹象,但对原油的需求增长仍然相当缓慢。油价前期冲击50-52美元区间遇阻后大幅回落,供应过剩的担忧情绪始终如利剑高悬,利淡消息令油价雪上加霜,失守多个支撑位,不过在近12年低位附近存在较强买盘的支撑,油价绝地反击展开反弹,目前市场憧憬俄罗斯与OPEC合作减产的可能性,但实际达成协议难度很大,随着减产传闻逐渐被证伪,警惕油价重新陷入跌势。若经济数据利好股市情绪,或事件影响原油供应预期,未来油价仍然有机会再度向上挑战压力位,但同时亦要警惕供应博弈的格局未真正打破,囚徒困境的发展或导致油价后期大幅走低,支持看30.15,29.26,阻力看32.83,34.81。目前油价受消息面影响较大,原油供应过剩的囚徒困境博弈难以破解,较高值搏率的交易策略,以适量逢高做空或突破区间追单较有利。   【纽约股市】纽约股市个别发展,蓝筹股扭转过去两个交易日升势。道琼斯工业平均指数跌17点,报16449点。标准普尔五百指数跌不足1点,报1939点。美股受中国制造业进一步收缩及油价下跌所影响,不过社交网站Facebook、 Twitter及互联网公司Alphabet等股价造好,科技股受支持,带动大市回升。道指早段跌近167点后反弹,曾经收复失地并升至1万6500点水平,最多倒升44点,尾段再度下跌。若美股走强则利淡金银回落。   【美元指数】美元汇价兑主要货币汇价普遍下跌。市场观望美国本星期公布连串经济数据。美国经济数据欠佳,日本亦进一步放宽货币政策,加上市场认为美国加息步伐会慢过预期,美元受影响,兑日圆跌至120水平。欧元兑美元曾经升至1.09水平。技术上,美元指数大起大落,目前在99水平附近震荡整理。目前美联储不容美元走得太强,走势是在没干预下上扬,到一定位置则有打压,走势有人为因素及避险资金支持。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: